I know exactly what you mean, it's tough to sift through the noise. I was in a similar spot last month and stumbled upon a pretty balanced article that I found helpful. It didn't give any guarantees, of course, but it walked through different scenarios based on adoption metrics and key support levels. It was a lot more reasonable than most of the stuff out there. You might want to check out this fantom price prediction piece I found; it gave me a better framework for my own decision-making without trying to push a specific agenda. Hopefully it helps you get some clarity too.